Why is the methanol market so volatile?
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Why is the methanol market so volatile? Please tell us what you think! :L :L This post was last edited by lhsjg666 on 2007-12-29 08:59 ]
Factors affecting my country’s methanol market fluctuations include: 1. The demand for downstream products 2. The operating status of the manufacturer's equipment, planned maintenance, and temporary shutdowns 3. The price of international imported methanol 4. The arrival time of imported methanol merchant ships 5. Weather. In 2005, heavy fog closed highways and hindered methanol transportation in Hebei. Methanol prices were the lowest in the country at that time. 6. Coal price 7. Fertilizer price. The rise in international fertilizer prices at the beginning of this year was a slight rebound in methanol prices, which should have been sluggish. 8. Seasonal cyclical changes. The lowest rice is after the Spring Festival every year, and the highest near the National Day.
Mainly affected by the relationship between supply and demand
It's really complicated. In addition to the factors considered by the brothers on the second floor, there are also factors such as new projects and new production capacity, as well as factors such as the development process of downstream industries.
At present, methanol has been widely used as fuel, so the price of oil should have a greater impact on it.
There are only two main influencing factors on price: cost and supply and demand
Petroleum prices and profits in the methanol market are still quite good, so they are not affected much by raw materials at present. In addition, methanol and liquid ammonia rise and fall most of the time, but the two are complementary. Therefore, most large enterprises now combine ammonia and alcohol, and at the same time develop the downstream product dimethyl ether. However, the environmental impact assessment approval of dimethyl ether has been returned to the State Environmental Protection Administration, and small-scale ones are not easy to obtain.
The friend on the second floor made it very clear. There are many influencing factors. Of course, supply and demand are the main ones. They are related to the overall situation and have a lot to do with the region.