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This post was last edited by jordan569 on 2013-1-6 23:26. The following content is from the comments of netizens on the International Coal Network on January 10, 2008. Oil prices have always been an important indicator of the feasibility of coal-to-liquid production. As a relatively high-cost substitute for oil, coal-to-liquids can only be used when oil prices reach a certain level. This is one reason why coal-to-liquids have developed rapidly after entering the era of high oil prices. As international oil prices break into the 100-yuan mark, coal-to-liquids are facing unprecedented development opportunities. “Generally speaking, the higher the oil price, the greater the potential for coal-to-liquid production. ”yesterday, * * Zhou Fengqi, senior advisor of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in an interview with a reporter from Shanghai Securities News that purely from the perspective of economic costs, as long as the international oil price remains above US$50 for a long time, there is room for development of coal-to-liquids. Now that the international oil price is close to US$100, it is definitely an important opportunity for coal-to-liquids. It is reported that the cost of coal-to-liquids mainly includes coal, catalysts, water, electricity and operating costs. Public information shows that the cost of coal accounts for about 30% of its total cost. According to data released by Yankuang, based on a coal cost of 150 yuan/ton, 4 tons of coal is converted into 1 ton of oil, and the complete cost of a ton of oil is 1,986 yuan, which can compete with oil at US$25 to US$28 per barrel. However, the above-mentioned cost accounting is also controversial in the industry. Previously, Zhang Yuzhuo, chairman of Shenhua Coal to Oil Company, said in an interview with the media that as long as the oil price is above US$40, the coal to oil project should have a reasonable return. Peng Xiaofei, chairman of Chevron Group Greater China Co., Ltd., judged that international oil prices must remain at around US$45 a barrel for a long time before coal-to-liquids can be viable. He said in an interview with the media that the company is conducting research on the development of coal-to-gas or coal-to-oil plans in China, and that long-term oil price trends are an important consideration. “Of course, US$50 is only a cost calculated from an economic perspective. When discussing the prospects of coal-to-liquids, there is also an environmental cost that needs to be considered. Because the process of coal-to-liquid production requires the production of a large amount of carbon dioxide and the consumption of a large amount of water, it can be seen that it is also subject to resource and environmental constraints. ”Zhou Fengqi said. He told this reporter that although the oil price of 100 yuan provides development opportunities for coal-to-liquids, the key lies in the extent to which the technology of coal-to-liquids has advanced. Only when the technology passes can we talk about industrialization and large-scale promotion. Therefore, we must wait until the industrialized products of relevant companies are released this year before we can finally judge how big the space for coal-to-liquids is. Shanghai Securities News also learned in an exclusive interview with Hu Jinglin, Director of the Economic Construction Department of the Ministry of Finance, that * * Consideration will be given to establishing risk reserves for coal-to-liquids companies, allowing companies to set aside pre-tax profits in special accounts to prepare for subsidies when oil prices are low. This post was last edited by meihuagong on 2008-1-10 19:16 ] .Note$#, $ $