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Prospects of coal chemical industry

2008-01-17View Original

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Let's discuss it: What is the future of the coal chemical industry? Is there any future for development?
Reply #22008-01-18
Coal is China's main fossil energy and the main raw material for many important chemicals. With the sustained and rapid development of social economy, China's demand for energy and chemicals has also seen a high growth rate in recent years. Coal chemical industry has occupied an important position in China's energy and chemical fields.    In 2005, China produced a total of 232.82 million tons of coke, 8.95 million tons of calcium carbide, about 25 million tons of coal-based fertilizers (pure), and about 3.5 million tons of coal-based methanol, all ranking among the top in the world. The development of the coal chemical industry has played an important role in alleviating the contradiction between supply and demand of high-quality energy such as petroleum and natural gas in China, and promoting the development of steel, chemical industry, light industry and agriculture.    China's coal-to-liquids project, supported by a series of technological breakthroughs and stimulated by high international oil prices, has fully stepped out of the laboratory and entered the stage of industrial demonstration production. The total scale of projects under construction and proposed is close to 5 million tons. The investment in the representative coal-to-olefins project of Shanxi Shenhua Group is a milestone. In 2006, the country produced a total of 297.68 million tons of coke, an increase of 43.56 million tons or 17.14% year-on-year. The growth rate was 6.11 percentage points lower than the previous year. Among them, the output of mechanical coke was 26,279 tons, a year-on-year increase of 18.36%. The output of other semi-coke, petroleum coke, improved coke, soil coke, etc. was 34.89 million tons, a slight increase from the previous year. Among them, coking enterprises above designated size produced a total of 281.21 million tons of coke, an increase of 42.17 million tons year-on-year, an increase of 17.64%.    While the coal chemical industry was developing rapidly in 2006, worrying problems also emerged. The development of the coal chemical industry has high requirements on coal resources, water resources, ecology, environment, technology, capital and social supporting conditions. Some places have blindly planned and competed to build coal chemical projects regardless of the carrying capacity of resources, ecology, environment and other aspects. These problems have had an adverse impact on the coal chemical industry and the sustainable, stable and healthy development of the economy and society. The key to promoting the development of the coal chemical industry is to transform the economic growth model, which must truly focus on the sustainable development of economic benefits, so that the development of the coal chemical industry can fully adapt to the needs of sustained and rapid growth of China's national economy.    New coal chemical industry mainly produces clean energy and products that can replace petrochemical industry, such as diesel, gasoline, aviation kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas, ethylene raw materials, polypropylene raw materials, alternative fuels (methanol, dimethyl ether), etc. It is combined with energy and chemical technology to form an emerging industry integrating coal-energy and chemical industry. In short, the coal energy and chemical industry will play an important role in the sustainable utilization of China's energy and is an important development direction in the next 20 years. This is of great significance for China to reduce environmental pollution caused by coal burning and reduce China's dependence on imported oil. It can be said that the coal chemical industry is facing new market demands and development opportunities in China.
Reply #32008-01-18
Oil prices are rising, resources are rising, and coal chemical industry is imperative. The country is paying more and more attention to * * The policy also favors this area.
Reply #42008-01-18
In 2003, at an industry meeting, a certain association proposed to* * It is recommended to focus on the development of coal chemical industry, and predicts that in the next few years, coal chemical industry will gradually replace the position of petrochemical industry in the country. At that time, many people thought it was alarmist. Unexpectedly, the steel price increase in 2004 caused a sudden surge in the coking industry, and coal companies also benefited from it. After several years of development, the shortage of crude oil and the rise in oil prices have made the role of coal chemical industry more and more obvious. So I don’t need to say what the prospects of coal chemical industry are. Its existence and development trend in recent years have already determined its fate - it is unstoppable!
Reply #52008-01-18
I think coal chemical industry will develop, but it will definitely not exceed the popularity of the petrochemical industry in previous years.
Reply #62008-01-18
I am still very optimistic about the prospects of coal chemical industry because I am also working in this area haha
Reply #72008-01-18
Bullish, haha,,, now everything needs coal, plastics, electricity, steel, haha, there are too many, it can’t be done without it.
Reply #82008-01-19
Haha, the coal chemical industry will develop and grow, but judging from the current situation, investing in the coal chemical industry has certain risks. Before investing, you must do a good job of research and demonstration. Nowadays, there are so many repeated projects, just like acetic acid. Everyone thinks it is very profitable, so they go crazy. Judging from the current momentum, it will soon enter the era of meager profits.
Reply #92008-01-19
What you said above makes sense. Regarding the current coal chemical industry,* * Macroeconomic control should be intensified
Reply #102008-01-19
With the promulgation of the "Medium and Long-term Development Plan for Coal Chemical Industry", huge investments in new coal chemical industry are ready to go. The high price of crude oil and my country's energy structure of more coal and less oil will further promote the development of the coal chemical industry. Judging from my country's current consumption and import situation of gasoline and diesel fuel, olefins and their downstream resin raw materials, my country's new coalification tools have great room for development.   It can be seen from my country's energy strategy that coal is the long-term foundation for the development of the energy industry. The strategic value of my country's modern coal chemical industry is that since resource conditions determine that the coal-based energy pattern will be difficult to change substantially in the long term, and my country's low oil storage and production ratio has endangered energy security, alternative energy will be an inevitable choice. Emerging coal chemical industry is an important way to promote the clean utilization of coal, and its sustainable development capabilities are worth looking forward to.   With the continuous introduction of industrial policies, my country's modern coal chemical industry has entered a new period of development. The expansion of industrial scale will inevitably bring more investment opportunities and growth potential to relevant listed companies. Industry researchers' relatively neutral expectation is that during the "11th Five-Year Plan" period, the currently registered production capacity can be implemented, and the total investment in projects under construction will be more than 320 billion, while more optimistic expectations are that the planned project investment will exceed 600 billion. If 70% is approved, the total investment will also exceed 400 billion.   From a long-term development perspective, coal-to-liquids and coal-to-olefins are key. However, due to their large investment scale and special status in the energy strategy, their development will be mainly dominated by large enterprises. Industry researchers are most optimistic about China Shenhua, which has the advantage of integrating energy and chemical plants.
Reply #112008-01-19
Petroleum resources can be used for 50 years, and coal resources can be used for 200 years. The development of coal chemical industry is the general trend.
Reply #122008-01-21
At present, the coal chemical industry requires scale. Only when it reaches a certain scale can it be profitable. Just like methanol, the current scale is less than 1.2 million tons per year.* * Approval has been denied, and now to invest in coal chemical industry, it is best to develop deep processing projects, such as olefins, polymers, etc. Coal chemical products, the further they are developed, the higher the added value, and of course the higher the technological content.
Reply #132008-01-22
Coal chemical industry has a lot of room for development, and vigorously developing coal deep processing is the development direction of my country's energy strategy. Including coal gangue processing, comprehensive utilization of coking energy consumption, deep separation of coal tar and coking crude benzene, these require major domestic universities and research institutes to increase scientific research efforts. But domestic scientific research in this area is far from enough. Just like our Shanxi province, we started to call for deep processing of coal in the 1980s, but it has only seen some improvement in the past few years.
Reply #142008-01-22
The petrochemical industry has been popular for so many years, the key is to pay attention! ! !
Reply #152008-01-24
Coal chemical industry will definitely have a future. Just from the perspective of improving resource utilization efficiency, coal chemical industry should attract attention. After all, simply burning coal as fuel is currently the most inefficient way of using it. I remember when I was studying chemistry in junior high school, I mentioned that coal chemical industry is the treatment that coal should enjoy. Haha, support coal chemical industry.
Reply #162008-01-24
The coal chemical industry can only be profitable if it reaches a certain scale, but* * This kind of macro-control, for the projects we currently have that are not very mature, it is very risky to go directly to large projects.
Reply #172008-01-25
The current development trend of coal chemical industry is unclear. Due to the continuous rise in coal prices and the increasing construction investment, the low-cost advantage traditionally considered in the past has been continuously reduced and the risks are increasing day by day. However, compared with petrochemical industry, it should still have great potential. Guanjian is the right project to choose.
Reply #182008-01-25
Coal resources are said to last 200 years, but now that projects are being launched in various places, I really doubt how long they will last.

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