Asking for advice from experts in coal chemical industry! ! !
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Ask the experts for help! ! ! Thank you very much! ! ! ! How to calculate the economic benefits of coal-to-liquid production? ? ? What is the calculation method? ? ? I just read in the book that there is economic benefit only when the price of oil is ten times the price of coal. Where did this conclusion come from? ? ? I would be very grateful! ! ! You can also add my qq number: 377167081 Thanks again! ! ! ! ! Is there any QQ communication group? ? ? ? ?
A brief reply is as follows: 1. The calculation method still follows the relevant regulations on the technical and economic evaluation of chemical projects. 2. The main factors that determine the economic benefits of coal-to-liquids, that is, the key factors in technical and economic evaluation are: ·The price of crude oil (including refined products). ·The price of coal (including raw coal and fuel coal). ·The operational reliability of the device, that is, the operating rate and load rate. 3. There is a data for reference. The international crude oil price is 25 US dollars/barrel and the raw coal price is 150 yuan/ton, which is the "break-even point" of coal-to-liquids (of course, it refers to a large-scale device with an annual output of 500,000 tons of oil products). The current international oil price is 80-90 US dollars. The competitiveness of coal-to-liquids is still good, but there are two risks worthy of attention.: ·The future trend of international oil prices. ·Domestic coal prices have soared sharply, approaching 400-500 yuan/ton. 4. In view of the extreme uncertainty of coal-to-liquids (huge investments, technical risks, product competitiveness), companies still need to be very cautious when making decisions. It is best to wait until the Shenhua project is put into production before making a decision based on the actual situation. This post was last edited by zjyang168168 on 2008-2-2 17:48 ]
Just find an economics book and do some financial analysis.
Since the explanation on the second floor is already relatively comprehensive. Other factors that need to be considered are also more important, such as environmental pollution. The coal-to-oil process produces a large amount of waste gas, which is an advantage of the petroleum industry. Considering the high pollution and low output of the coal industry, the overall cost consideration is that the economic benefits will only be achieved when the price of oil is ten times the price of coal.
re: Heart Zen Actually, I think the issue of environmental pollution is not the most important issue. Because talking about the coal industry (coal chemical industry? )’s high pollution and low output are true, but it depends on how they are compared. Of course, compared with petrochemical industry, the pollution is high, but the modern coal chemical industry is still capable in this regard. But if compared with coal being directly dispersed and used as fuel, it is still acceptable. I think the main problem in the (new) coal chemical industry at present is water. Where there is coal there is no water, and where there is water there is a shortage of coal. Chemical production consumes a lot of water.
Does our forum have a QQ communication group? ? ?
In the international crude oil price of 25 US dollars / barrel, the price of raw coal is 150 yuan / ton, which is the "break-even point" of coal-to-liquids (of course, it refers to a large-scale device with an annual output of 500,000 tons of oil products). This is very true. Oil prices are currently volatile. Although they are rising, there are still too many uncertainties. Coal prices are inevitable to rise again. for * * From a safety perspective, it is necessary to develop coal-to-liquid technology. China is increasingly dependent on crude oil imports. It is conceivable that a blockade of Chinese oil will occur.