Thread Content
Last week, prices rose in most areas of the Asian methanol market, driven primarily by the strong purchasing power of Chinese buyers. After the Spring Festival, Chinese buyers were in urgent need to enter the market and make purchases, which boosted the confidence of suppliers; against the backdrop of smooth shipments, prices rose. Currently, the CIF price of methanol in the Southeast Asian market is $154–156 per ton, remaining unchanged from a week ago ； The CIF price of methanol at Chinese ports is $189–190 per ton, up by $8.5 per ton from a week earlier. Methanol trading in Europe is showing signs of recovery; inventory levels are gradually decreasing and prices are stable. Currently, the price of methanol is at 211–213 US dollars per ton (FOB Rotterdam), up by 1 US dollar per ton compared to a week ago ； Supply and demand in the U.S. market remain stable, and the trading atmosphere is fair; the spot price for methanol is at 44–45 cents per gallon (FD Gulf Coast, equivalent to approximately 146–149 dollars per ton), remaining unchanged from a week ago. Last week, the methanol market in East China showed an upward trend; although trading volume was low, prices rose on paper, with mainstream quotes ranging from 1,700 to 1,800 yuan per ton. After the holiday, prices on the methanol electronic trading platform rose, and prices in the international market also began to increase. Additionally, the expectation that downstream users would stock up on supplies after the holiday boosted the confidence of those holding inventory to some extent. However, in reality, the recovery in demand from downstream sectors is quite limited, and the trading atmosphere remains sluggish. Additionally, a large volume of imported goods will continue to arrive at ports in East China, and imported methanol enjoys a significant price advantage; as a result, there will still be considerable pressure on the market in the coming period. At present, the demand from downstream buyers in Jiangsu’s methanol market is moderate; the prevailing ex-plant price ranges between 1,700 and 1,750 yuan per ton, with actual negotiation prices lean ing towards the lower end ； The supply of methanol in the Ningbo area is limited, so traders face little pressure to sell their stock. The prevailing ex-plant price is around 1750–1800 yuan per ton, with actual transaction prices being slightly lower. In terms of plant operations, the operating capacity of major methanol plants in the East China region remains around 20%. Due to reduced inventory pressure, manufacturers have raised their export prices slightly to around 1,700 yuan per ton. Last week, the methanol market in South China saw weak trading activity, with prices remaining stable but on the rise; the mainstream price range was 1600–1650 yuan per ton, while prices for higher-quality grades increased slightly. Demand from downstream sectors is awaiting a recovery after the holiday, leading to a cautious market attitude and weak trading activity. After the holiday, the methanol supply in South China remained relatively stable. However, the recent arrival of 20,000–30,000 tons of imported methanol has created some psychological pressure on those holding inventory, thereby restraining any rise in prices. The main methanol plants in Fujian region continue to operate at reduced capacity; some of the produced product is used internally, while sales performance is average. The prevailing price range is 1,750–1,800 yuan per ton. Last week, most methanol producers in Central China continued to operate at reduced capacity due to shutdowns, resulting in limited new supply entering the market. Downstream demand failed to increase significantly, and prices remained stable at low levels. There are very few methanol plants in the Henan region that are operating; the overall operational rate is between 20-30%. However, due to a lack of demand, sales remain sluggish, with companies focusing on local sales. The current mainstream price is 1,600–1,650 yuan per ton. The methanol market in Hunan is operating at a reduced scale, with few buyers entering the market; traders are adopting a wait-and-see attitude. Methanol manufacturers are operating at low capacity, and the mainstream ex-factory prices range from 1680 to 1700 yuan per ton. The trading atmosphere for methanol in Hubei is sluggish; downstream demand has not yet recovered effectively, and market supply has decreased. The mainstream pricing by methanol manufacturers is 1650–1700 yuan per ton, with slight price fluctuations. Last week, the overall operating capacity of methanol plants in North China remained low; market supply decreased, and manufacturers raised their prices slightly. The average ex-plant price for methanol was between 1,600 and 1,700 yuan per ton. In the Shijiazhuang area, due to the reluctance of dimethyl ether and formaldehyde manufacturers downstream to purchase raw materials, methanol producers are seeing slow sales; as a result, manufacturers are adopting a wait-and-see attitude. The current mainstream ex-factory price is around 1680–1700 yuan per ton. The prevailing price in Xingtai and Zhangjiakou areas is 1,650–1,700 yuan per ton. In the central and northern regions of Shanxi, more than 2 million tons worth of methanol production capacity has been shut down, while the operating capacity of major enterprises in the southern region is only 20-30% of normal levels. The overall volume of methanol production is low, so there is little pressure to sell this product. However, after the holiday, some downstream users began to restock their inventory, which to some extent boosted the confidence of those holding methanol in stock. The current mainstream ex-factory price of methanol is 1,600–1,700 yuan per ton. Last week, the methanol market in the Northeast region saw an increase in trading and rising prices, as the low operating levels of the main methanol production facilities led to reduced new supply. This was coupled with downstream factories stocking up in preparation to resume production after the holiday period. The operating rate of coal-to-methanol plants is low; manufacturers are able to sell their products, with the prevailing price ranging from 1,550 to 1,650 yuan per ton. However, some manufacturers already have plans to adjust their prices ； The natural gas methanol plant is operating normally; supported by the restart of the acetic acid plant, the demand for methanol for internal use has increased, prompting manufacturers to raise prices slightly. The prevailing price range is 1650–1700 yuan per ton, and sales are performing well. The trading atmosphere in the market improved during the week; sellers were more optimistic about demand after the holiday and raised their prices slightly. The prevailing price range was 1,500–1,700 yuan per ton, with transactions taking place at mid-to-low levels. The methanol market in Liaoning has been driven up by rising supply prices; the mainstream price range is 1,800–1,850 yuan per ton, with modest trading volume. Market brief review. Against the backdrop of continuous production cuts in the methanol industry, market supply levels have gradually declined. However, after the Spring Festival, some downstream factories resumed operations to purchase materials, which helped to boost trading activity. Additionally, after experiencing significant drops, methanol prices on the international market showed signs of stabilizing. All these factors provided support for the domestic methanol market, contributing to an improvement in market conditions. However, whether it can continue to progress steadily will depend on the recovery of demand and the volume of low-cost imported methanol arriving. Due to ongoing uncertainties, the outlook remains unclear; as a result, the methanol market will continue to fluctuate at low levels in the short term, with limited room for gains or losses.