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The development prospects of bioenergy

2009-02-20View Original

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Everyone is well aware of the advantages of bioenergy – it’s renewable, environmentally friendly, and so on – but what is its actual future outlook? I have always had this question: in the long term, say decades from now, there is certainly no problem with developing bioenergy. What about now? Oil prices are approaching 100 dollars per barrel, yet it doesn’t seem like there’s much activity in our country; the media also doesn’t cover bioenergy much. Could it be that they aren’t very supportive of bioenergy? At least food energy is no longer supported. But for things like straw, it seems there are no specific incentive policies that I’m aware of. There is no doubt that oil will be fine for another 100 years. Oil prices are currently high; they should drop further. Based on extraction costs, it would be good if oil prices could reach 100 dollars in 20 years. By then, will bioenergy be significantly improved compared to now? Don’t forget that new energy sources are not limited to bioenergy. In my view, bioenergy is merely a strategic investment, and it will be difficult for it to see significant development in the next ten to twenty years. If there’s no significant progress, what’s the point of everyone staying around? It seems a bit contradictory. What are everyone’s thoughts on this? One more thing: this forum lists several types of bioenergy, such as biodiesel and bioethanol, etc. Which one holds more promise relatively speaking? Currently, the best raw material for bioenergy should be cellulose biomass, such as straw. It can be used to produce ethanol, syngas, generate electricity, and more – but which usage method is the best? In any case, it seems like biodiesel isn’t going to play any role – biodiesel is made from fats and oils, and given China’s large population, it’s difficult for it to see significant development. As for woody raw materials, if the production volume is to increase significantly, it will likely take at least another ten to twenty years.

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