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The price fluctuations of methanol in the domestic market are somewhat similar to those of stock indices

2009-03-20View Original

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The price fluctuations of methanol in the domestic market are somewhat similar to those of stock indices. Take a look: 1. At the start of 2008, affected by the weak demand in the downstream sector, the price of methanol gradually declined from its high levels in November 2007; from January to March, the price of methanol in East China remained within a narrow range of 3,200–3,500 yuan per ton. Following the sharp rise in the price of raw coal after the Spring Festival, methanol producers made downstream methanol products bear the pressure of rising costs ; With the prices of gasoline and LPG rising repeatedly due to high crude oil prices, strong demand for methanol and its derivative dimethyl ether as alternative energy sources has driven up prices in the domestic market. Within just 3 months, these prices reached their highest levels since 2000; in East China, for example, the price reached 4,700–4,880 yuan per ton by early June. Yet, high positions bring cold winds; this price level has also become a significant turning point for the methanol market. Starting in the fourth quarter, affected by the global financial crisis, demand in the downstream industrial chain failed to recover. With an influx of imported goods, the price of methanol plummeted; by late December, prices in East China had dropped to 1680–1750 yuan per ton, representing a significant drop of 64% over half a year. 2. The Olympic-related market boost that the Chinese stock market had been hoping for never materialized; since October 2007, A-share prices have been falling continuously, with the decline so far exceeding 60%. The total market value of the entire stock market has also declined from 32 trillion yuan last year to 16 trillion yuan at present.      Recent surveys and data show that the significant and prolonged decline in stock markets is gradually having an impact on the real economy, including investment and consumption. The operations and technological innovation of enterprises in related industries have been affected by tight capital flows; meanwhile, the amount of social wealth in the stock market has also decreased by more than half. This has led to a decline in consumers’ expectations, which in turn affects the economic environment that relies on consumer spending. What an interesting similarity!
Reply #22009-03-20
Methanol prices are related to **oil prices, and oil is related to the economy
Reply #32009-03-20
Hehe, it’s just n days behind the stock index

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