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This post was last edited by jordan569 on 2013-1-6 at 22:24. In early September, China’s National Development and Reform Commission halted most \"coal-to-oil\" projects and issued a warning regarding \"high-risk industries\". At the summit forum of the 2nd China (Taiyuan) International Coal and New Energy Industries Expo, which opened on September 16, the topic of \"coal-to-oil\" once again became a focus. However, unlike a year earlier, there was more rational consideration in the discussions, and projects related to coal-to-oil production began to face greater emphasis on risk assessment. Most industry experts believe that, given high coal and oil prices and the immaturity of coal-to-oil technology, it will take some time before coal-to-oil production can achieve large-scale commercialization in China. Energy experts from the State Council believe that people think ‘coal-to-oil’ can extend the industrial chain. But whether it truly reflects the true nature of the market, whether the timing for launching it is right, and whether such substantial investments can indeed find a market – the outcomes may not be as good as one might imagine. Experts say that ‘coal-to-oil’ projects with small-scale investments are pointless, while the technologies required for large-scale investment are not yet mature. If such a complex technical system is not managed properly, problems are bound to arise. A large portion of those billions in investments comes from loans taken out from banks. Once loans are involved, it’s no longer just a matter for businesses; it becomes an issue that affects ordinary people as well. He also said that since 2007, coal prices have more than doubled, and it’s hard to say whether it’s worth converting coal back into oil. Qin Qingping from the Production Technology Department of the Coal Mine Technology Center at Lu’an Group said that Lu’an’s coal-based synthetic oil project makes use of technologies with independent intellectual property rights developed by the Chinese Academy of Sciences; it is not yet a fully industrialized factory, but rather a small-scale demonstration facility. “We understand the new policies of the National Development and Reform Commission; it indeed takes time to scale up chemical engineering technologies. ” Chen Liming, Vice President of South Africa’s Sasol Company’s China office, said, “Developing any industry must not be done in a hasty manner; every industry goes through certain stages in its development.” ‘‘Coal-to-oil’ does indeed face issues such as high investment risks and high water consumption. We fully understand the caution exercised in the adjustment of China’s industrial policies; the company has halted its project in Yulin, Shaanxi, and is focusing its efforts on the project in Ningdong, Ningxia. ” “The problems encountered in the \"coal-to-oil\" projects trouble not only China but also the United States, another major energy consumer. In an era of high oil prices, striving to find alternative energy sources is an inevitable choice for many **. Like Shanxi Province in China, West Virginia in the United States is also an important coal-producing region, and it is also going through a difficult adaptation period related to \"coal-to-oil\" production. “Not all areas with coal are suitable for oil production; an adequate supply of water is another essential factor. At the same time, high investment costs, long construction periods, divergent market expectations, and transportation bottlenecks all hinder the development and adoption of ‘coal-to-oil’ technology. ”Sun Qingyun, assistant to the governor of West Virginia, said at the forum. It is reported that the two coal indirect liquefaction projects currently under construction in the state also face numerous difficulties and potential risks. It is understood that to launch a \"coal-to-oil\" project in China with an annual production capacity of 1 million tons, an investment of 10 billion yuan is required, and it will consume 5 million tons of coal and 10 million tons of water per year. In China, coal-rich areas often suffer from water shortages, and the inverse distribution of water and coal resources means that it is not possible for China to commercialize coal-to-oil production on a large scale right away. Nevertheless, Sun Qingyun said that the main factor restricting \"coal-to-oil\" production in the United States is environmental issues. Based on the energy conversion and consumption during coal liquefaction, how to deal with the large amount of carbon dioxide released in this process will greatly influence the decisions of future investors and **. “Everyone knows that ‘coal-to-oil’ is a good thing, but no one wants a processing plant built in their backyard. ”Sun Qingyun said. He expects high oil prices to remain a long-term phenomenon. Over the 10 to 20 year period, \"coal-to-oil\" will be a good option. But coal is after all a finite resource, and environmental costs make companies quite cautious about investing. This post was last edited by Zhenzhen Youci on 2009-3-30 15:50. Note: $ # , $ $
Coal-to-oil production is itself a form of energy consumption; such profits are very limited, which is unfavorable for capitalists! I think the future of coal-to-oil is bleak!
In addition to high water consumption and significant carbon dioxide emissions during the production process, coal-to-oil production also faces the issue of potentially high production costs. However, this is a strategic reserve project; when China’s energy security is threatened, production may proceed regardless of the costs. At the same time, it represents an opportunity for certain companies, including foreign ones, to secure resources.
Isn’t it a waste to convert one form of energy that can be used directly into another?