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Analysis of PVC raw material prices on February 23

2017-02-23View Original

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Analysis of PVC raw material prices on February 23 1. Market overview: The PVC market is showing weak trends with little change. Overnight crude oil prices fell, and the ex-plant prices of some petrochemical products continued to drop, resulting in weak support from cost factors. There remains resistance on the part of traders to ship goods, with many actual transactions involving price concessions. Futures are fluctuating at low levels, and merchants are in a pessimistic mood. There is no significant increase in market activity; downstream factories show little enthusiasm for entering the market, and there are still many observers on the sidelines. 2. Key price information: PVC prices in Yuyao Plastic City as of February 23. Grade, manufacturer, today’s price, yesterday’s price, change. SG-5, Shanxi Yushui: 6850, 68500; LS-100, Tianjin LG: 7450, 74500; S-700, Qilu Petrochemical: 7550, 75500; SLK-1000, Tianjin Dagu: 7400, 74000. Domestic PVC factory outlet prices as of February 23. Grade, manufacturer, today’s price, yesterday’s price, change. SG3-5, Henan Yuhang: 6300, 6400-100; SG3-5, Shanxi Yushui: 6250, 6300-50; SG3-5, Jinxi Chemical: 6500, 6510-10; S1000, Qilu Petrochemical: 6850, 6950-100; S700, Qilu Petrochemical: 6900, 7000-100. 3. Plant operations: Status of PVC production plants as of the 23rd. The Huasu plant in Suzhou is operating at 70% capacity, with stable output levels. The Haohua plant in Heilongjiang is operating at 50% capacity, producing around 300 tons per day. The Jilantai plant in Inner Mongolia is operating at 80% capacity, with stable pricing. The Sanyou plant in Tangshan is operating at around 90% capacity, with prices determined on a case-by-case basis. 4. Upstream influences: Inventory pressures remain high, while crude oil prices are declining. U.S. crude oil futures fell $0.74, or 1.36%, to $53.59 per barrel ; Brent crude oil futures fell $0.82, or 1.45%, to $55.84 per barrel. On the 2nd and 22nd, prices in Asia’s ethylene market remained stable, with CFR Northeast Asia staying at 1384.5–1386.5 dollars per ton ; CFR Southeast Asia remained stable at $1,149.5–$1,151.5 per ton. 5. Market analysis by region: The PVC market in Shanghai is experiencing poor sales, with prices continuing to decline; there is a significant difference between high and low prices. The quoted price for type 5 mainstream self-pickup is between 6,400 and 6,550 yuan per ton, with some sources offering slightly higher prices. Tianchen Type 5 costs 6,600 yuan per ton if picked up in person, Tianye Type 3 costs 6,900 yuan per ton, and Tianchen Type 8 costs 6,950 yuan per ton; high prices make it difficult to secure sales. The PVC market in the Guangzhou area remained calm; affected by the sharp drop in futures prices, trading volume was low and prices continued to fall. The regular Type 5 calcium carbide costs 6,400–6,470 yuan per ton for pick-up at the factory; the Type 5 product from Bingcheng is priced at 6,400 yuan per ton for pick-up, while Xinfafa’s Type 5 product costs 6,430 yuan per ton for pick-up. Yili/Junzheng’s Type 5 product is priced at 6,450 yuan per ton for pick-up, and Zhongtai’s Type 5 product costs 6,500 yuan per ton for pick-up. The price of ethylene material remains stable for now; the mainstream price is 7,100–7,200 yuan per ton for pickup at the supplier’s location, while the Dagu 1000 model costs 7,120 yuan per ton for pickup at the supplier’s location. 6. Future outlook: Futures are expected to fluctuate weakly, while spot trading will remain sluggish. There is a strong sentiment of hesitation; the market atmosphere is sluggish, and prices continue to fall. Although environmental inspections have already begun, the impact on upstream and downstream areas remains to be seen. It is expected that PVC prices will continue to decline slightly. (Excerpt from China Chemical Products Network)

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