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【Haichuan Teahouse】What if, when flipping a coin, it lands on heads 100 million times in a row? So what is the probability that it will land on the reverse side next time?

2022-03-10View Original

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There is a very interesting question in statistics: what if, when flipping a coin, it lands on heads 100 million times in a row? So what is the probability that it will land on the reverse side next time?
Reply #22022-03-11
It can be 1/3, or it can be close to 1, depending on the perspective from which you view it.
Reply #32022-03-11
Haha, I guess no one can do it. It takes 1 second to throw once; let’s calculate how long it would take to do it 100 million times.
Reply #42022-03-11
If it lands on heads 100 million times in a row, it indicates that there is something wrong with the coin, or with the machine used to flip the coin. So I’ll still choose with the front facing up!
Reply #52022-03-11
Multiple people can participate over an extended period of time; the asphalt drip test can be used as a reference
Reply #62022-03-16
Statistics have told you that this is a 100% certainty
Reply #72022-03-18
It’s already reached 100 million times – is there still a need to throw it again? Upward! :hug:
Reply #82022-03-19
That is, don’t be misled by probabilities

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